The September numbers just came out for the Sioux Falls market, and there’s one headline number everyone’s going to quote: the average sale price hit a monthly record of $456,855 — up 19.4% from last September. Sounds wild, right? Let me give you the straight version before anybody runs with that one.
That average got pulled way up by a handful of very high-dollar sales, including one estate along South Minnesota Avenue that sold for $6 million. When a $6 million sale lands in a month with 219 total sales, the average stops telling you much about normal houses. I’m a straight shooter, so here’s the honest number: the median sale price in the city was $344,600, up 1.8% from last September. That’s the number that describes a typical Sioux Falls home. Record averages make headlines; medians make sense.
The numbers that actually matter
Here’s the September picture for the city of Sioux Falls, per the Realtor Association of the Sioux Empire:
219 homes sold, up almost 16% from the 189 sold last September. Buyers are out there and they’re buying.
Median price of $344,600, up 1.8%. Steady growth, not a spike.
450 new listings hit the market, down 2.2% from a year ago. This is the number to watch — fewer sellers are listing.
Sellers received 97.3% of their original list price on average, up slightly from 96.9% a year ago. Deals are still being negotiated; nobody’s getting laughed at for making an offer.
The average home spent 81 days on the market before selling — nine fewer days than last September. Well-priced homes are moving.
Inventory ended the month at 1,011 homes, down 25.7% from last year. That’s a 3.8-month supply, down more than a third from a year ago.
The broader metro — Lincoln and Minnehaha counties together — tells the same story: median price of $350,000 (up 1.4%), closed sales up 9.2%, only 3.9 months of supply versus 5.9 a year ago, and sellers getting 97.5% of list price.
The rate conversation
One more piece of context: in late September, the Federal Reserve raised its benchmark rate for the first time since July 2023, and the average 30-year fixed mortgage moved back above 7%, according to Freddie Mac. I know rates get all the attention, and I get asked about them constantly. Here’s how I think about it: the rate is one number, but your monthly payment is the number you actually live with. A point of rate movement changes the payment by a couple hundred bucks a month on a typical Sioux Falls home. That’s real money, but it’s not a reason to panic — it’s a reason to plan. Know your payment, work backward from there, and don’t let the headline rate make your decision for you.
What this means if you’re selling
Tight inventory is your friend. With only 3.8 months of supply and fewer new listings coming on, buyers don’t have a lot of other options. But don’t misread the record average price — your home isn’t worth 19% more than it was last year. The homes selling quickest are the ones priced right from day one, in that $150,000 to $200,000 sweet spot, and the luxury end ($900,000 to $1 million) still takes its time at 124 days. Price it like the market says, not like the headlines say, and 81 days on market tells you buyers will show up.
What this means if you’re buying
Yes, there are fewer homes to choose from than last year. But sellers are still negotiating — 97.3% of list price means deals happen every day. Get your financing squared away, know your monthly payment, and don’t be afraid to make a reasonable offer on a home that’s been sitting a while. Fall and winter in Sioux Falls can actually be a good time to buy: fewer bidding wars, motivated sellers, and you get to see how a house handles cold weather before you commit.
Thinking about a move here?
If you’re reading this from out of state and Sioux Falls is on your radar, the takeaway is simple: this market is steady, not crazy. Prices are growing a little each year, inventory is tight, and homes that are priced fairly sell. That’s a healthy market, not a scary one. The folks who do best here are the ones who start planning a few months out — and that’s exactly why I run the “Making the move to Sioux Falls” Facebook group, so you can learn the neighborhoods and the process before you ever pack a box.
The short version
September was a strong month: more sales, steady prices, tighter inventory. The record average price is a statistical quirk — the median tells the real story. Sellers have the inventory edge; buyers have negotiating room and less competition than spring. And rates above 7% mean planning your payment matters more than waiting for a headline.
If you’re thinking about buying or selling around Sioux Falls, give me a call at 605-900-4500 or email me at Drivinhome@hegg.com. And if you’re moving this way from out of town, come join us in the “Making the move to Sioux Falls” Facebook group — real people, real answers, no sales pitch.